Sunday, May 1, 2011

[4XONTARIO] ECB and BoE: Neither central bank will raise interest rates in May .

 

No BUY/HOLD and/or SELL recommendations!

European Central Bank (ECB) continues to carry out its aggressive policy with an objective to reducing inflation while the Bank of England (BoE) for now is not eager to raise interest rates anytime soon.
Despite the fact that in comparison with other central banks ECB is considered to be the most hawkish on inflation and it showed as much by being the first to raise rates since the financial crisis.

The BoE on the other hand is behaving much more cautiously as far as rising interest rates is concerned, even though recent BoE's Inflation Report implies that it's very likely that inflation will settle above the 2% target in the medium term. Also the fact that GDP had finally shown growth in the first quarter of 2011 would suggest a move towards an interest rate hike. But the economy is not recovering as quick as expected and higher interest right now, without the support of macro data, do not make sense.

The BoE meeting will take place on May 5 at and the ECB meeting on May 12. We need to watch the Pound and the Euro.

Regards,
`THE PIP DISPENSER'
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